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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

We Discuss: Mentioned in the Episode: “How People in 24 Countries View India,” Pew Research Center Mathew George, Katarina Djokic, Zain Hussain, Pieter D. Wezeman, and Siemon T. Wezeman, “Trends In International Arms Transfers, 2024,” Stockholm International Peace Research Instit…

On this episode of The Spillover, cohosts Rebecca Patterson and Sebastian Mallaby welcome Rahm Emanuel. Below are some takeaways from the conversation. In the upcoming midterm elections, Emanuel is “pretty confident about the House” but warns of a razor-thin margin for Democrats.…

On this episode of The Spillover, cohosts Rebecca Patterson and Sebastian Mallaby welcome Rahm Emanuel. Below are some takeaways from the conversation. In the upcoming midterm elections, Emanuel is “pretty confident about the House” but warns of a razor-thin margin for Democrats.…

Steven Cook knew from an early age that he wanted to study international affairs. The longtime CFR Middle East fellow discusses how he found his path and all the places it’s taken him.

The collapse of the memorandum of understanding revealed Iran’s core priority: control of the Strait of Hormuz. But with both sides locked in an escalating battle of wills, the question is whether a lasting deal is still possible.

The International Criminal Court was created to bring justice to the world’s worst war criminals, but debate over the court still rages.

China promised a better balance of payments report. What it delivered instead is a set of implausible numbers that deserve a closer look from the IMF.

The detention of U.S. citizen Min Zin on dubious espionage charges is the latest evidence that Beijing’s campaign to silence dissidents and critics abroad is expanding in scope and audacity. Without a forceful U.S. response, China’s willingness to target academics, activist…

As the U.S. government takes a greater role in private businesses, antiquated accounting rules are forcing agencies to make suboptimal decisions. A new method of accounting for equity stakes could modernize them.

On this episode of The Spillover, cohosts Rebecca Patterson and Sebastian Mallaby discuss the U.S. government’s new habit of taking direct equity stakes in private companies, and its consideration of a 5 percent stake in Sam Altman’s OpenAI. Joined by CFR Senior Fellow for Geoeco…

After Iran’s attacks on merchant shipping killed the ceasefire, Trump said he would reimpose the U.S. blockade and resume airstrikes. But with no military path to regime change and the war already deeply unpopular at home, the president faces the same strategic dilemmas that have…

CFR President Michael Froman analyzes the wins from this year’s summit in Ankara.

Resolve at the NATO summit to bolster Ukraine and President Donald Trump’s newly supportive comments could create momentum for negotiations to end the war. But Russian President Vladimir Putin, despite a string of setbacks, appears ready to ramp up his aerial assault on Ukraine.

Five years after its generals seized power, Myanmar has collapsed into Asia’s deadliest war and a nearly unequalled humanitarian catastrophe. And yet, the rest of the world has decided to ignore the conflict amid other major geopolitical developments.

The U.S. president is single-handedly reviving a doctrine of the postcolonial left.

African intellectuals cannot continue to ignore the questions raised by recurrent xenophobia in South Africa.

Restoring Gulf oil and gas flows to prewar levels requires navigating a complex web of technical, commercial, and geopolitical obstacles—many of which remain unresolved.

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: China’s “AI Plus” Initiative, State Council of China, August 2025 China’s New Generation Artificial Intelligence Development Plan, State Council of China, 2017 Opinions expressed on The President’s Inbox are solely tho…

On this episode of The Spillover, cohosts Rebecca Patterson and Sebastian Mallaby stage a friendly cage match over two so-called dollar alternatives—gold and bitcoin. Patterson takes up gold while Mallaby, donning his technology hat, argues for bitcoin. The wager is simple: Has e…

The U.S.-Iran ceasefire is on the verge of collapse, and with it any prospect of restoring normal traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Even if the agreement holds, transit fees, sea mines, billions in infrastructure damage, and deep regional mistrust pose significant obstacles t…

Stephen Sestanovich has spent decades studying U.S.-Russia relations and served as U.S. ambassador-at-large for the Soviet Union in the Clinton administration. He sat down with CFR to discuss witnessing Putin’s rise and the benefits of balancing government, think tank, and univer…

This is a joint blog with Brian Peters, a former risk manager and supervision officer at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. There are two significant reasons why China’s reported current account surplus ($735 billion) is much smaller than its goods surplus ($1.2 trillion), eve…

The rapid spread of a rare Ebola strain through Central and East Africa is testing local public health authorities and raising concerns about the state of global health security.

The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) is pleased to announce the newest members of its Board of Directors. Effective July 1, 2026, Charles Q. Brown Jr., Marie-Josée Kravis, Daniel B. Poneman, and David E. Sanger join the Board, bringing a wealth of expertise spanning military le…

President Donald Trump’s signature tax bill is contributing to a contraction in the country’s clean energy manufacturing that threatens U.S. supply chains and competitiveness, just as rising electricity prices underscore the industry’s importance.