25 dokumenata — stranica 9
Why the Fed’s Published Inflation Forecasts Are Meaningless—Or Worse
Geopolitika · CFR · Globalno · 4. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

The Fed’s published inflation forecasts are not only poor relative to the private sector’s, but meaningless out beyond a year—as they simply converge to the Fed’s inflation target.

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America's Drug Supply Chain
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 4. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

Rush Doshi’s testimony to the U.S. Senate Special Committee on Aging analyzes how the United States had developed a “rare earths” problem in medicine, largely self-inflicted by letting its pharmaceutical supply chain and innovation ecosystem migrate offshore.

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The Gulf of Tonkin Incident
Geopolitika · CFR · Bliski Istok · 4. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

The attack on a U.S. destroyer off the coast of North Vietnam that deepened U.S. involvement in Vietnam never happened and opened up a credibility gap in U.S. foreign policy.

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Voters Worry About Election Integrity
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 3. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

A new Gallup polls shows that Americans are worried that they will not see free-and-fair elections in November.

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The World Should Not Ignore China’s Undervalued Currency
Geopolitika · CFR · Kina · 2. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

A weak renminbi directly led to China’s latest export boom, and a stronger renminbi is the only realistic cure.

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The Latest in U.S.-China AI Competition
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 31. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

CFR President Michael Froman and CFR Senior Fellow Chris McGuire discuss recent developments in artificial intelligence (AI), including Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model, and how the United States could maintain its technological advantage.

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Will Iran Turn Into a Forever War?
Geopolitika · CFR · Bliski Istok · 31. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Like Lyndon Johnson in Vietnam, Trump risks entering a war whose end may be impossible to control.

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India's Cockroach Party Protests Have a Powerful Precedent—and It Isn't the Arab Spring
Geopolitika · CFR · Azija · 31. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Global media have likened India’s Cockroach Janta Party movement to the Arab Spring and to the uprisings that toppled governments in Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. A more instructive comparison is India’s own protest wave of the mid-1970s—and the political reckoning…

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Council of Councils Fourteenth Virtual Conference
Geopolitika · CFR · Globalno · 30. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

via Zoom July 22, 2026

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The 1916 Black Tom Explosion in Jersey City
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 30. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Before the United States entered World War I, U.S. officials mistook German sabotage for an industrial accident.

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CFR Surveyed 350 Experts About AI's Future. Most Think Governance Is Failing.
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 30. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

CFR asked experts to predict how artificial intelligence (AI) and governance will affect the global order in 2035. Almost all agreed that governments are failing to keep pace with AI, the future of frontier AI capabilities is highly uncertain, and AI labs are already gaining powe…

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How Experts Think AI Will Change the Global Balance of Power by 2035
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 30. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) means policymakers need to navigate a future defined by technological uncertainty. To help them do so, CFR asked foreign policy experts to predict how frontier AI capabilities and the governance structures that could emerge around them wil…

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The Shareholder State
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 30. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

The United States needs to use equity strategically, as part of a broader architecture designed to build commercially sustainable supply chains that serve national security interests while keeping markets free but not defenseless.

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How I Got My Career in Foreign Policy: Andrea R. Flores
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 29. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Andrea Flores has spent more than fifteen years working on immigration policy, including at DHS, the White House, and the ACLU. She spoke with CFR about how her 360-degree perspective has shaped her understanding of the issue and the challenges of advancing immigration reform.

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AI’s Economic Winners
Geopolitika · CFR · Kina · 29. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

The race for AI dominance often focuses on the United States and China, but other countries are key players—and winning depends on many factors.

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The Saudi Nuclear Deal Would Set a Dangerous New Proliferation Precedent
Geopolitika · CFR · Bliski Istok · 28. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

The recently announced agreement between the U.S. and Saudi governments to develop civilian nuclear energy has aroused concerns that the decades-old approach to sharing this technology has been upended.

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The Real AI Race Isn’t About Models. It’s About Compute.
Geopolitika · CFR · Kina · 28. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

In this episode of The Spillover, host Sebastian Mallaby sits down with Jordan Schneider, founder and editor-in-chief of the ChinaTalk podcast and newsletter, to discuss AI progress and security, as well as the U.S.-China AI rivalry. Mentioned on the Episode: Jordan Schneider, “C…

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Trump administration's dealing in companies is on shaky ground
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 27. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Intel’s shareholders are doing what Congress seems unable to do: push back on the administration’s interpretation of the law to justify grabbing ownership in companies.

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As Zelenskyy Meets Trump, Ukraine’s Political Crisis Reveals a Silver Lining
Geopolitika · CFR · Europa · 27. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Zelenskyy arrives in Washington carrying a political crisis of his own making, after the ouster of his popular defense minister triggered protests across Ukraine. But by forcing him to answer for it, Ukraine’s civil society has once again demonstrated the strength of Ukrain…

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China Now Outranks the United States in Global Favorability. What Happened?
Geopolitika · CFR · Kina · 27. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

For the first time in nearly two decades, a new Pew Research survey shows China is viewed more favorably than the United States in most countries surveyed—but the findings say more about a decline in U.S. soft power than a Chinese surge.

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Is China’s Surplus Really Shrinking?
Geopolitika · CFR · Kina · 27. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Look past the gold imports, and China’s trade surplus is still climbing.

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How Does the Iran War End?
Geopolitika · CFR · Bliski Istok · 24. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

CFR President Michael Froman analyzes three potential outcomes of the Iran War.

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The U.S.-Saudi Nuclear Deal Set Off Tremors. Is It Still Alive?
Geopolitika · CFR · SAD · 23. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

The announcement of a U.S. deal to provide Saudi Arabia with nuclear technology has raised alarm about proliferation, especially in Israel. The Trump administration’s swift move to add conditions puts it in limbo.

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Evolution, Not Revolution: Why China Isn’t Pushing Its Cleantech Advantage in the Hormuz Crisis
Geopolitika · CFR · Kina · 23. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

China might have taken greater advantage of the Strait of Hormuz closure to accelerate clean energy exports, but other exports led Beijing to moderate oil price rises.

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The Nuanced Relationship Between Public Opinion and Foreign Policy
Geopolitika · CFR · Afrika · 23. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Public sentiment is something decision-makers must contend with, especially in democratic states. However, the extent to which public opinion shapes foreign policy varies. Three Council of Councils experts in France, India, and Nigeria reflect on how public opinion does—and somet…

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