25 dokumenata — stranica 7
Does Latent Nuclear Deterrence Really Work?
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 6. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

In 2025, Matthew Fuhrmann wrote, “U.S. Allies and Adversaries Are Attempting Nuclear Deterrence Without Weapons – Will It Work?,” where he argued countries don’t always need to go as far as actually building nuclear weapons to reap the benefits of nuclear …

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The Arsenal and the Statehouse: New Defense Firms, Venture Capital and State Industrial Policy
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 6. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

When Anduril announced a $910 million drone production facility in Ohio, it was not politics as usual. The main message came from Ohio’s governor, Mike DeWine, while Representative Mike Carey’s press release thanked the governor. Members of Congress usually take subst…

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The Blood Price: In Israel, Military Sacrifice Is Becoming Political Power
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Bliski Istok · 6. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

In late June, cadets at the Israeli military’s officer training school sat through a lecture by Ofer Winter, a retired brigadier general and a polarizing figure in the Israel Defense Forces. According to Haaretz, Winter told the future officers that “there are no unin…

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Beyond Hormuz: The Future of Maritime Chokepoints
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Bliski Istok · 5. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz and efforts to extract payments for safe passage — plus, more recently, the Houthis’ move to attack Saudi shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait — have highlighted the risks of maritime chokepoints to global shippi…

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Why Trump’s Israel Normalization Demand May Kill the Saudi Nuclear Deal
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 5. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

Only days after the Trump administration celebrated what it called a landmark civilian nuclear agreement with Saudi Arabia, the president himself appeared to place the entire arrangement in jeopardy. In a Truth Social post, President Donald Trump declared the deal “totally …

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Beyond the Output Trap: Haiti and the Future of International Stabilization
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Lat. Amerika · 5. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

Five years after the assassinations in Haiti of Monferrier Dorval, Diego Charles, and Antoinette Duclaire, justice remains elusive. Four years after the assassination of President Jovenel Moïse, accountability is still incomplete. Yet international reporting on Haiti continu…

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A Conversation with the Pentagon’s Chief Buyer, Under Secretary Michael P. Duffey
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 4. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Sustainment Michael P. Duffey joins Jonathan to discuss the Pentagon’s ongoing acquisition transformation. Their conversation spans the recent munitions agreements, industry investments, the shift to portfolio acquisition execu…

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Is Washington Rewriting the North American Trade Agreement Around China?
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 4. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

Washington has repeatedly used trade policy and U.S. market access over the past decade to advance broader economic security priorities with its trading partners. The Trump administration’s decision not to renew the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement on July 1, during a mandatory…

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Why Egypt’s Opinion of Ukraine Matters, Now and Later
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Europa · 3. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

Welcome to The Ukraine Compass, a weekly digest of Ukrainian commentary and analysis from across the political spectrum only for War on the Rocks members. Each Monday, we bring you a curated selection of articles from Ukrainian media offering insight into how Ukrai…

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How to Stop China from Freeriding on American AI
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Kina · 3. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

The release of the Chinese open-weight AI model Kimi K3 has compressed a year’s worth of unresolved AI policy debate into a single news cycle. On July 21, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent threatened sanctions against Chinese labs found to have built their models on “t…

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Possible Is Not Plausible: How Nightmare Scenarios Hijack Unconventional Weapons Policy
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Kina · 3. kolovoza 2026. · Think-tank

Current conversations surrounding unconventional weapons — chemical, biological, radiological, and nuclear — have become so fantastical as to be unserious. As the Chinese military fundamentally rethinks biological warfare and Russia continues to use chloropicrin in Uk…

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The Atlantic Brief: The Strait of Hormuz and the Future of Free Navigation
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Bliski Istok · 31. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

In February 2026, the United States and Israel initiated a war in the Middle East against Iran. Since then, the warring sides have oscillated between strikes, a fragile ceasefire, and the blocking of the Strait of Hormuz. Open hostilities resumed in mid-July. More recently, the H…

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The (Un)importance of the Battle of Tours
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Globalno · 31. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Editor’s note: This is the first article in a new occasional series featuring battles that just didn’t matter, that looked important in isolation but had negligible strategic or political effect, or were absurd, anticlimactic, or structurally irrelevant to the wars th…

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Can Cyber Operations Be Deterred? What Wargames Reveal
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Globalno · 30. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

The most successful deterrent threats leave no evidence behind. No missiles fly. No networks go down. No troops cross borders. Nothing happens. For policymakers, that is often the desired outcome. For researchers, it is a nightmare. Imagine, however, being able to observe a decis…

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How Mexico Locked In Its Militarized Police State
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 29. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

In 2021, Andrew Ivey wrote, “‘I Have Other Data’: The Guardia Nacional and the Entrenchment of Mexico’s Militarization’,” where he warned Mexico was headed toward a militarization trap. Five years later, amidst increased pressure from the Trump…

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ASML’s Extreme Ultraviolet Lithography and the Limits of Reverse Engineering in China
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Kina · 29. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

In June, the U.S. Department of Commerce informed the Dutch company ASML that it suspects one of its extreme ultraviolet lithography machines has reached China, an accusation that ASML denied, and for which no supporting evidence has yet been made public. ASML is the sole global …

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Parsing Trump’s Decision to (Maybe) Give Uranium Enrichment to Saudi Arabia
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 29. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

On June 22, the United States announced that it had signed a nuclear cooperation agreement with Saudi Arabia. This type of agreement broadly authorizes trade in nuclear technology, equipment, and materials, but only if the agreement and the country in question meet defined nonpro…

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Key Areas Where Water Scarcity Intensifies Risks of Conflict
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Globalno · 28. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Water disputes can directly drive conflict, but more often, water scarcity acts as a catalyst — one that, combined with other pressures, raises the risk of conflict. This is nothing new; water has shaped human conflict for millennia. What’s changed is the accumulation…

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The Octane Revolution: How Jimmy Doolittle Catalyzed a Wartime Industry
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 28. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Editor’s note: This is the sixth article in a limited series celebrating American defense technologies born from wartime and their effects on broader national security, politics, and society. This series will run for several weeks to commemorate America’s 250th annive…

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The First Waves of Amphibious Assault Will Be Unmanned
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 28. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

In the Pacific War, the U.S. Navy’s underwater demolition teams prepared the way for U.S. and allied amphibious landings on enemy-held islands. Through beach reconnaissance, obstacle breaching, mine clearance, and other missions, these tea…

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How Orbán’s Fall Changed Serbia’s Political Future
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Europa · 28. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

In the speech announcing his invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022, Vladimir Putin took only minutes to arrive at the original sin in his catalogue of Western crimes. Before Iraq, before Libya, before Syria, came Belgrade: “First a bloody military operation was waged against…

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Zelensky’s Political Storm Starts to Clear
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Europa · 27. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Welcome to The Ukraine Compass, a weekly digest of Ukrainian commentary and analysis from across the political spectrum only for War on the Rocks members. Each Monday, we bring you a curated selection of articles from Ukrainian media offering insight into how Ukrai…

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Taiwan’s Tech Hurdles Threaten Military Capability and Potential Coalition Defense
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Kina · 27. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Taiwan produces the world’s most advanced semiconductors, yet the island’s own military is only in the opening stages of adopting artificial intelligence systems. This mismatch bears directly on Taiwan’s ability to deter Chinese aggression.Beijing is pushing to …

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Why Norway and Finland Should Preserve Two of Europe’s Most Important Demilitarized Zones
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · Europa · 27. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Svalbard is a stark archipelago of glaciers and coal mines lying 650 kilometers (403 miles) north of Norway’s North Cape, roughly halfway between the Norwegian mainland and the North Pole. It belongs to Norway but is governed under a 1920 treaty that grants nationals of mor…

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Global Risks Heating Up
Sigurnost · War on the Rocks · SAD · 24. srpnja 2026. · Think-tank

Welcome to The Adversarial. Every other week, we’ll provide you with expert analysis on America’s greatest challengers: China, Russia, Iran, North Korea, and jihadists. Read more below.***IranThe U.S.-Iranian ceasefire agreed in April began deteriorating — …

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