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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

Bruce Hoffman has studied terrorism and insurgency for half a century, trying to understand the mindset of people who carry out political violence. In a conversation with CFR, he discussed what he’s learned from interviewing terrorists and insurgents, how the terrorist threat has…

Few candidates on the campaign trail are talking about the nation’s mounting debt and what should be done about it.

As the country hurtles headlong into the midterm elections, women continue to be a key voting bloc—as skippers and flippers—given ongoing concerns regarding affordability, health care (including women’s health), and the costly Iran war siphoning away resources from daily kitchen …

One might have thought that a Middle East war that has badly reduced Qatar’s natural gas exports and greatly harmed its economy would fully occupy the Qatari government. Not so; it has found time throughout 2026 to persecute the small and law-abiding Baha’i community.  As I …

The Iran war has triggered the largest oil supply disruption in market history yet barely dented global growth after six months of conflict. Strategic reserves and shale get the credit, but the real cushion is the fuel everyone forgets—demand itself.

The U.S. war with Iran has raised new questions about the United States’ role in the Middle East, the balance of power in the region, and whether U.S. actions will fuel extremism.

Canada is the first U.S. ally to absorb tariff pain rather than settle. CFR’s Brad W. Setser explains what the breakdown costs both economies—and why other countries are likely watching the fallout closely.

A treaty to outlaw war embodied a lofty idealism but was the product of Realpolitik and cynical political calculations.

Operation Epic Fury failed to produce the quick victory that President Donald Trump predicted and may be remaking the political order in the Middle East.

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: Steven A. Cook, The End of Ambition: America’s Past, Present, and Future in the Middle East, Oxford University Press Steven A. Cook, “The U.S.-Led Middle East Order Is Over. The Mecca Agreement Proves It.,” Council on Foreign Relations Steven…

Mentioned on the Episode: Torsten Slok, “A Slower AI Payoff Would Be Everyone’s Problem,” Apollo Torsten Slok, “Monitoring the AI Trade: How Growing Debt Issuance Is Reshaping the Landscape,” Apollo The Spillover is a production of the Council on Foreign Relations. The opin…

Trump’s threats and hectoring have rattled Europe, but growing defense budgets and lasting mutual interests mean the alliance is more likely to endure than to collapse.

The Kennedy administration’s decision to seek the ouster of South Vietnam’s president intensified the country’s political instability and deepened the U.S. involvement in what became the Vietnam War.

Its operational base may be as ebullient as ever, but members of the #EndSARS generation have been pulled in different directions.

A war that began with U.S. ambitions to seize Canada led to the burning of the White House and the Capitol Building.

A new Council on Foreign Relations report finds that long production timelines and supply chain bottlenecks—worsened by munitions stocks depleted in the Iran conflict—mean the United States must enact policy reforms and scale precise mass capabilities to counter China in the next…

Nuclear energy is gaining momentum as countries seek reliable, low-emission power sources to meet increasing electricity demand and climate goals amid uncertainty in fossil fuel markets. Its revival renews long-standing debates over safety and nuclear proliferation.

Sowing doubt about the U.S. commitment to alliances in East Asia could upend the military and strategic balance in the region and undermine U.S. interests in the process.

Actions by advanced economies to limit rising government bond yields are unlikely to be durable without additional policy change or a material economic slowdown—but the first is unlikely and the second is unwanted.

The war against Iran has shown that Pentagon’s reliance on hard-to-produce hi-tech weapons creates a vulnerability in a world in which quantity may overwhelm quality.

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: Rush Doshi, Erin D. Dumbacher, William Henagan, Michael C. Horowitz, and Samuel Lazarus, “Out of Ammo: A Two-Year Sprint to Rebuild the American Arsenal and Deter China,” Council on Foreign Relations “One Big Beautiful Bill Act (H.R.1),” U.S.…

Trump’s abrupt rollback of joint military exercises with South Korea is the latest in a series of actions draining Asian allies’ confidence in U.S. security commitments—and hands China another opening to exploit.

What to make of Zambia’s 2026 general elections?

The CIA’s Operation Ajax helped push Iran toward autocracy and encouraged U.S. presidents to approve other covert efforts to oust governments they disliked.