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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

via Zoom July 22, 2026

Before the United States entered World War I, U.S. officials mistook German sabotage for an industrial accident.

CFR asked experts to predict how artificial intelligence (AI) and governance will affect the global order in 2035. Almost all agreed that governments are failing to keep pace with AI, the future of frontier AI capabilities is highly uncertain, and AI labs are already gaining powe…

The rise of artificial intelligence (AI) means policymakers need to navigate a future defined by technological uncertainty. To help them do so, CFR asked foreign policy experts to predict how frontier AI capabilities and the governance structures that could emerge around them wil…

The United States needs to use equity strategically, as part of a broader architecture designed to build commercially sustainable supply chains that serve national security interests while keeping markets free but not defenseless.

Andrea Flores has spent more than fifteen years working on immigration policy, including at DHS, the White House, and the ACLU. She spoke with CFR about how her 360-degree perspective has shaped her understanding of the issue and the challenges of advancing immigration reform.

The race for AI dominance often focuses on the United States and China, but other countries are key players—and winning depends on many factors.

The recently announced agreement between the U.S. and Saudi governments to develop civilian nuclear energy has aroused concerns that the decades-old approach to sharing this technology has been upended.

In this episode of The Spillover, host Sebastian Mallaby sits down with Jordan Schneider, founder and editor-in-chief of the ChinaTalk podcast and newsletter, to discuss AI progress and security, as well as the U.S.-China AI rivalry. Mentioned on the Episode: Jordan Schneider, “C…

Intel’s shareholders are doing what Congress seems unable to do: push back on the administration’s interpretation of the law to justify grabbing ownership in companies.

Zelenskyy arrives in Washington carrying a political crisis of his own making, after the ouster of his popular defense minister triggered protests across Ukraine. But by forcing him to answer for it, Ukraine’s civil society has once again demonstrated the strength of Ukrain…

For the first time in nearly two decades, a new Pew Research survey shows China is viewed more favorably than the United States in most countries surveyed—but the findings say more about a decline in U.S. soft power than a Chinese surge.

Look past the gold imports, and China’s trade surplus is still climbing.

CFR President Michael Froman analyzes three potential outcomes of the Iran War.

The announcement of a U.S. deal to provide Saudi Arabia with nuclear technology has raised alarm about proliferation, especially in Israel. The Trump administration’s swift move to add conditions puts it in limbo.

China might have taken greater advantage of the Strait of Hormuz closure to accelerate clean energy exports, but other exports led Beijing to moderate oil price rises.

Public sentiment is something decision-makers must contend with, especially in democratic states. However, the extent to which public opinion shapes foreign policy varies. Three Council of Councils experts in France, India, and Nigeria reflect on how public opinion does—and somet…

In a new collection of reports from the Wachenheim Center for Peace and Security at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), authors Peter J. Quaranto, Cecily Brewer, F. David Diaz, and Jason Ladnier provide expert recommendations for how to respond to common contingency types. Th…

The AI industry and the administration could soon converge on a FINRA-style regulator for frontier AI. Its ultimate viability and effectiveness will be decided by design choices being made right now.

The United States lacks a rigorous, routinized approach to managing foreign policy crises. The Wachenheim Center for Peace and Security has developed a set of Crisis Response Playbooks and a Crisis Management Checklist to serve as quick-reference guides for policy planners during…

Executive Summary Conflict-driven disruptions of critical supply chain chokepoints have become a recurring feature of the world today—from Russia’s 2022 blockade of Ukraine’s grain exports via the Black Sea, to the Houthis’ attacks on boats in the Red Sea that began in 2023, to I…

Executive Summary Gray zone attacks are deliberate but deniable acts of violence engineered to inflict strategic costs while stopping short of triggering a formal military or diplomatic response. Those attacks can take multiple forms: infrastructure destruction (undersea cable cu…

Executive Summary With more than 490 failed and successful coups d’état [PDF] around the world since 1950, coups have been a persistent challenge for U.S. foreign policy across decades and continents. Although coup leaders often cite legitimate grievances and can have strong popu…

Executive Summary Over the first quarter of this century, the vast majority of violent conflicts worldwide have involved insurgent groups: organized groups engaged in armed struggle to weaken the control and legitimacy of an established government, occupying power, or other polit…

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: “Cuba’s 176 Market-Liberalization Measures,” NBC News, June 20, 2026 “July 11, 2021 Protests in Cuba,” WOLA, July 2022 “Miami Herald Investigation: GAESA’s Secret Dollar Reserves,” Miami Herald,…