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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

The Western Hemisphere has bifurcated into a North America aligned with Washington and a South America tilting toward Beijing. A more immediate danger comes from criminal-political-business networks across Latin America. Washington should compete more effectively with China and c…

Over the next decade, African states will face mounting threats to their legitimacy and sovereignty, with some becoming client states of outside patrons and others gaining leverage from competition over critical minerals, demographics, and geography. To remain relevant on a conti…

Climate change poses a major geopolitical and economic threat, reshaping coastlines, opening the Arctic, driving migration, straining water supplies, and magnifying extreme heat. U.S. policymakers systematically underestimate these cascading risks and are failing to invest in ada…

Alliances remain Washington's single greatest strategic advantage over China and Russia, but the old transatlantic bargain of U.S. protection for European loyalty is no longer politically sustainable. A more autonomous Europe within a rebalanced alliance is the better future for …

We discuss: Mentioned on the Episode:  “Planet Successfully Runs AI in Space,” Planet “Thales Alenia Space Reveals Results of ASCEND Feasibility Study On Space Data Centers,” Thales Alenia Space “Is AI Putting Graduates Out of Work Already?,” The Economist The Spillover is a…

The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) is pleased to announce a new grant to launch the Project on Rebuilding the Case for Global Health and Development in Foreign Policy. It will spur fresh thinking and mobilize support for global health and development finance. “Now more than e…

The diffusion of power across the international system, the return of great power competition, and the rapid advance of revolutionary technologies—from artificial intelligence to autonomous weapons—have forced a reassessment of how the United States deters adversaries, sustains a…

A long-awaited meeting produced modest stability but no grand deals—for Southeast Asia and South Asia, it could have been worse, but the region has reacted with significant worry about the summit’s outcomes.

The Beijing summit did not resolve U.S.-China competition. Instead, it gave the rest of the world reason to worry about a new uncertainty: whether U.S.-China “strategic stability” will restrain rivalry, conceal it, or turn it into a bilateral bargain over their heads.

The country’s elite is paying the price for championing dubious ideologies at the expense of basic economics.

Artificial intelligence diffusion is stress-testing the assumptions that underpin U.S. cybersecurity. Inspecting those foundations isn’t a precaution against scaling AI—it’s the precondition for doing it with confidence.

A technical post with an important update to my estimate of China’s true holdings of U.S. bonds.

April’s edition of China and Climate provides an update on China’s response to the Iran war and unpacks recent climate governance measures, the Spanish prime minister’s trip to Beijing, Chinese battery manufacturing strengths, and the anticipation of extreme flooding in 2026.

CFR President Michael Froman analyzes the form and substance of this week’s highly anticipated meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Welcome to the Daily News Brief, CFR’s flagship morning newsletter summarizing the top global news and analysis of the day. Top of the Agenda Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping both praised their Beijing summit for improving bilateral ties, though the visit produced few speci…

Is the dollar still indispensable to world trade and finance? The Iran War is revealing its vulnerabilities.

As the United States becomes a less reliable trade and security partner, several U.S. allies are seeking to keep an open door with China—but experts caution these moves are neither sustainable nor realistic.

Washington’s desire to extract mineral wealth has led it to full backing of Felix Tshisekedi, even as he angles for a third term.

Welcome to the Daily News Brief, CFR’s flagship morning newsletter summarizing the top global news and analysis of the day. Top of the Agenda Trump and Xi hailed the potential for a positive turn in relations during talks in Beijing today—though each side emphasized different poi…

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: “President Xi Jinping Speaks with U.S. President Donald J. Trump on the Phone” Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs Evelyn Cheng, “Trump is taking more than a dozen U.S. executives to China. Jensen Huang isn’t one of them,” CNBC Opinions expre…

Kenneth I. Juster has practiced international law, worked in tech, and been the U.S. ambassador to India. He sat down with CFR to discuss managing diplomatic crises and the lessons he learned from the private sector.

Lebanon has had a more open political system than many other Middle East countries, but it has long suffered dysfunction at the hands of corruption and mismanagement, sectarian elites, and the force of non-state actors and their external patrons.