25 dokumenata — stranica 4
Australia’s partnership with Japan helps deter China from starting a war
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 6. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Historian and media commentator James Curran is wrong to suggest we should fear that closer defence ties with Japan could drag Australia into a conflict with China, as he argued in the Australian Financial Review ...

Abundant electricity isn’t enough: China’s overbuilt AI computing power is underused
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Rusija · 6. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

AI development is often imagined as a race for scale in which competitive edge is gained by harnessing enough energy to operate AI technology. Tech billionaires such as Elon Musk have stoked this narrative, suggesting ...

Australian Defence AI policy risks writing modern EW out of the force
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Europa · 5. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

In 2025, Ukrainian-led opposing forces defeated NATO formations in two major exercises. At exercise Hedgehog in Estonia, about 10 drone operators with cheap first-person-view drones rendered two NATO battalions combat-ineffective in half a day. At ...

Australia’s AI moment requires a copyright compromise
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 5. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

I’ve just finished reading a fantasy novel written entirely by an AI. The Second Son of the House of Bells is the story of a young bellmaker whose keen musical ear makes him an agent of political ...

In this month’s budgets, treat economic decisions as national-security decisions
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 5. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

The Northern Territory still struggles to convert opportunity into sustained economic growth because workforce shortages, weak enabling infrastructure and slow approvals continue to choke investment. With the May budgets in Darwin and Canberra fast approaching, ...

With its third SSBN, India edges closer to continuous at-sea deterrence
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 4. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

India’s commissioning of the submarine INS Aridhaman last month is significant as a strategic marker in the evolution of India’s sea-based nuclear deterrent. In adding a third boat to India’s fleet of nuclear-powered ballistic missile ...

The Indo-Pacific could shape control of the growing spyware market
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 4. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

The market for commercial cyber intrusion capabilities (CCICs) is moving faster than the frameworks designed to govern it. What began as a niche ecosystem of surveillance vendors has evolved into a sprawling, fragmented industry. While ...

Bookshelf: on war and wheat
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 4. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Dennis Voznesenski’s War and Wheat examines the complex relationship between grain markets and global conflict. Amid an increasingly precarious global security situation, the book – written by one of Australia’s most respected agricultural economists – ...

Hedging our bets: a Japanese option for managing risk in the AUKUS Optimal Pathway
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 3. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Japan is unlikely to join the submarine component of the AUKUS defence partnership between Australia, Britain and the United States, but it could help mitigate the risks associated with Australia’s acquisition of nuclear-powered submarines. This ...

Expanding frontiers: what happens if Beijing accelerates its Indo-Pacific push
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 1. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Rather than gradually expanding its defence and security engagement across the Indo-Pacific, Beijing may choose to accelerate its trajectory, pushing boundaries to advance its interests and take advantage of a distracted United States. The result ...

Disinformation is Beijing’s weapon. Japan needs more than fact-checking to counter it
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 1. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Pro-China entities have attempted to use disinformation to undermine democracy and social cohesion in Japan. This has included targeting Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and her government through state media, diplomatic channels and coordinated online campaigns ...

Australia can be region’s most-trusted cloud node – if governance catches up
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 30. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

Microsoft’s A$25 billion investment in Australian AI and cloud infrastructure positions the country as a significant node in the Indo-Pacific’s trusted digital architecture. That creates a strategic opportunity – one Australia is well placed to ...

Expanding frontiers: how China’s outward push could cause friction
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 30. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

China’s expanding presence beyond the first island chain is most likely to generate incidents, friction and escalation risks not through deliberate aggression but through growing operational proximity. As Chinese military, paramilitary and law-enforcement activity becomes ...

The Quad should share intel on critical-mineral supply risks
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 30. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

With China increasing restrictions on critical minerals trade, including tighter export controls on rare earth elements announced in March, the United States and allied countries are trying to bring more mineral supply to market. To ...

Expanding frontiers: how China normalises its presence
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 29. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

A major strategic shift in the Indo-Pacific is happening quietly: China’s presence in seas and ports far from its coast is becoming routine. The frequency of its appearances has been rising for about a decade. ...

Australia’s innovation funds are multiplying, but the mission still isn’t clear
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 29. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

When submissions to the government’s request for expressions of interest (REOI) for the Advanced Capability Investment (ACI) fund close this afternoon, officials will face a familiar challenge: not a shortage of proposals, but uncertainty about ...

Warning signs: how China normalises its presence
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 29. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

A major strategic shift in the Indo-Pacific is happening quietly: China’s presence in seas and ports far from its coast is becoming routine. The frequency of its appearances has been rising for about a decade. ...

Creating a northern hybrid zone to turn ambition into action
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 29. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

Washington and Manila have moved from intent to design, announcing plans for a 4,000-acre (16 square km) economic security zone to anchor allied supply chains in the Philippines. That move should inspire Australia’s approach to ...

ASPI’s China Defence Universities Tracker: China–Iran research ties
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 28. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

China and Iran have gradually deepened research ties in dual-use and emerging technologies over the past 15 years, the latest update to ASPI’s China Defence Universities Tracker (CDUT) shows. The scale of this collaboration is ...

Expanding frontiers: China’s military push beyond the first island chain
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 28. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

China’s defence and security presence beyond the Western Pacific is set to intensify over the next decade, expanding its access, influence and operational reach across the Indo-Pacific. In the Southwest Pacific, Beijing is likely to ...

A concern for Australia: Britain looks unserious about naval defence
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 28. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

Australia should have a big concern. Britain, a country that Australia is relying on for its future submarine force and much else under AUKUS, looks seriously unserious about naval defence. Quite apart from the challenge ...

Australian defence depends on stronger northern systems
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 27. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

Northern Australia will decide whether Australia will sustain combat power where it matters most or fail to do so before tempo can be maintained. Policy has settled on the importance of geography. Execution will determine ...

National Defence Strategy 2026: views in The Strategist
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 26. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

The world is a more dangerous place than it was two years ago. The priorities outlined in Australia’s new National Defence Strategy (NDS) and its accompanying spending plan, the Integrated Investment Program (IIP), reflect this. ...

On Anzac Day, reflect on wars of the past – and steel ourselves for wars of the future
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 25. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

Anzac Day signifies tragedy. It speaks to futility and loss, the death of young Australians in their prime. We try to make sense of this ‘senseless loss’ by honouring their courage and extolling Anzac values. We ...

Holding out: Japan rearms impressively, but Taiwan can’t count on it
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 24. travnja 2026. · Think-tank

Japan is re-arming powerfully – but Taiwan can’t rely on its help. The island must prepare to hold out alone against a Chinese attempt at subjugating it, at least until international help can be marshalled. ...

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