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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

Is it possible at this juncture of the Iran war to extrapolate out the domestic political consequences for the United States, particularly for President Donald Trump? Let’s look at two possibilities. The first is a ...

Australia needs to revisit its defence industrial base strategy. The country’s military industry should be reshaped to offer serious value to the United States and in doing so improve Australia’s own self-reliance. It now offers ...

China is no longer merely leading the research in major technology fields. It’s also moving towards a monopolistic position in most of them, the latest update of ASPI’s Critical Technology Tracker shows. As wars in ...

A remarkable conclave took place in Hanoi on 16 March. China’s foreign affairs, defence and public security ministers met their Vietnamese counterparts in a strategic dialogue. The ministerial mechanism is new in the China–Vietnam relationship, ...

Governments say they want diversified critical minerals supply chains. Yet many regulatory systems still require a decade or more to move new mines from discovery to production. Getting a processing plant going is similarly protracted. ...

Most cyber analysis begins with incidents. It should begin with intent. Adversaries sometimes declare strategic priorities, yet cyber incidents that align with them are not assessed accordingly. We should in fact be guarding against intrusions ...

Australia has a narrow window to act if it wants any leverage in what comes next in AI, the most transformative technology of our era. Building data centres and enabling AI training to happen here ...

If disruption to food and energy systems has become persistent rather than episodic, Australia needs better ways to test how those systems perform under sustained and overlapping shocks. In short, it should apply stress-testing to ...

The Sino-Russian no-limits partnership is the driver of an anti-Western axis that seeks to weaken and reshape the global order that has underpinned Australia’s post-1945 prosperity and sovereignty. Naysayers may claim it isn’t an alliance, ...

Debate over China’s role in Australia’s security has become polarised, with critics retreating to a familiar refrain: China is our largest trading partner, so any security concerns are exaggerated. That argument is not just incomplete; ...

The United States and the European Union are both working to reduce their dependence on China for critical minerals, but they’re taking markedly different approaches. As both powers pursue critical-mineral independence through different means, the ...

A flag stopped at a stadium gate can tell you more about geopolitical pressure than many an official communique. At a Women’s Asian Cup soccer match in Sydney this month, Taiwanese supporters say flags and ...

The sinking by submarine attack of the Iranian frigate Dena in the Indian Ocean on 4 March is a blunt reminder that maritime war does not respect the tidy geographic boundaries favoured in policy frameworks. ...

The widening conflict involving Iran is causing shipping disruptions that are threatening global fuel supplies. But this is only the latest reminder that economic vulnerability is strategic vulnerability. It reinforces that markets are now arenas ...

A regional network open to think tanks and universities from Australia, Japan, New Zealand and South Korea – NATO’s Indo-Pacific (IP4) partner countries – is working to enhance understanding of the common security challenges facing ...

When European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen offered Australia a security and defence partnership in early 2025, Canberra barely noticed. That wasn’t surprising. Canberra’s strategic focus had long been anchored in the Indo-Pacific, with ...

Security agencies, like all major organisations, are wrestling with how to integrate AI into their work to boost effectiveness. But they will need to think not just about how to improve the execution of individual ...

Unexpectedly, today’s signature weapon is the Iranian Shahed drone now in use in wars in Ukraine and the Middle East. These drones are not just a distant problem. Their range means that, if launched from ...

In 2024, China’s united front system tried to love-bomb Taiwanese youth through cross-strait exchanges and outreach programs designed to cultivate goodwill and influence. In 2025, Beijing returned to a more traditional playbook: shaping how Taiwan’s ...

If you were a tech giant that had set up data centres in the Middle East because of the cheap fossil-fuel power and permissive regulatory environment, you might now be looking wistfully at Australia. Right ...

Gregory Blake’s 2025 book, Into the Valley of Death: the charge of the Light Brigade and the Crimean War, is one of a new ‘Shot of History’ series from Australian publisher Big Sky. It aims, ...

Australia’s copyright laws block domestic AI development, leaving its institutions dependent on foreign models that foreign governments can compromise. No Five Eyes partner has a legal framework that supports domestic training of frontier foundation models, ...

In London a few weeks ago, taking a break from grim Washington and catching some early spring weather, I met a British defence executive for coffee on the concourse of one of the city’s smaller ...

Maintaining a navy without a merchant fleet is a little like maintaining an air force without a commercial aviation industry: one is intended as a fighting force, while the other sustains the system. Australia today ...

China is trying to gain more influence in Kiribati but has yet to fully consolidate it. While Australia should seize this very last moment to counter China’s efforts, it should ensure it does so in ...