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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

Welcome to the latest edition of ASPI’s Fault Lines. Every fortnight, ASPI’s Defence Strategy Program monitors the actions and developments shaping the regional order and Australia’s security. This edition covers the period from 18 September to 1 October ...

With China posing a threat to Indonesia’s interests in the South China Sea, Indonesia needs a clear maritime cooperation strategy. It should itself set the cooperation agenda with China, insist that joint activity complies with ...

Australia’s sovereignty debate can sometimes get tied up in knots. Sovereignty does not mean isolated self-sufficiency. Rather, it means preserving our strategic options and our agency to make decisions in our national interest. That might ...

Australia is accepting significant risk in mine countermeasures, a capability once seen as essential. While investing heavily in submarines and warships, Australia has allowed its dedicated mine countermeasures force to decline from six Huon-class minehunters ...

‘There are weeks when decades happen’ has been a stock phrase to remember this summer. The missile wars between Ukraine and Russia and between Iran and the United States (and its nervous Middle Eastern allies) ...

Australia’s rare-earths industry has made substantial progress. After years of project development, government investment and efforts to diversify supply chains away from China, a new generation of Australian projects is moving towards production. Several of ...

The Australian Army’s workforce is more educated, technically proficient and connected to emerging technology than any previous generation. Its people challenge assumptions, experiment with new capabilities and increasingly recognise learning as a warfighting function. The ...

AI weapons systems that are designed to learn and adapt could become increasingly difficult for humans to predict, explain and control. This creates an accountability gap that existing oversight mechanisms may not be equipped to ...

China’s leading tech companies are no longer the copycats of yesteryear. Contrary to many perceptions in the West, they are increasingly innovative and are challenging the West for drones, robotics, electric vehicles (EVs), advanced manufacturing, ...

Potential Japanese acquisition of nuclear weapons is an under-appreciated deterrent to a Chinese attempt at seizing Taiwan. If China took Taiwan, Japan would surely activate what we must presume to be well-established plans to rapidly ...

At Davos this year, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said ‘middle powers must act together because if you are not at the table, you are on the menu.’ Nowhere is the case stronger than in ...

There is a distinct possibility of an enormous war breaking out in the next few years over a Chinese attempt to seize Taiwan. To prevent such a catastrophe, the world’s leading democracies need to establish ...

Over the past few months, New Delhi’s relations with Beijing have improved. It would be a mistake to read this as a sign of greater strategic trust. A better explanation is that India is managing ...

Australia and Canada are separated by half a world, but a new defence partnership is exposing an unexpected similarity. Canada is buying Australian surveillance technology developed to monitor the vast approaches to Australia’s north. The ...

Australia’s next class war may not principally be fought over wealth, but over truth. For most of modern history, democratic societies have argued about competing interests: wages and profits; taxation and spending; and security and ...

Australia is spending heavily on military AI and, separately, on building the capabilities and interoperability of its Indo-Pacific partners; yet we are paying too little attention to what happens as those two agendas converge. The ...

China is seeking to exploit perceived Western missteps in the Middle East, including the Iran war, by turning societies against the United States and other western nations. As part of this, the Chinese Communist Party’s ...

The stakes will be high in expected talks between President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi on AI safety and governance during Xi’s state visit to Washington on 24 September. AI and tech company executives ...

Taiwan’s inconsistency in asserting its sovereignty is giving Beijing a narrative opening. Taiwan needs a coherent doctrine for when and how to contest border disputes, even if it makes different arguments to different countries. On ...

We spend enormous amounts of money protecting the networks around our most important people. Then, at the end of the day, we send those people home. There they find a car that logs where it ...

The international order established at the end of World War II provided a framework for the management of global affairs that worked for nearly 80 years. However, the past few years have marked a turning ...

Today, ASPI is expanding its globally-recognised data offering by launching the China Little Giants Tracker – a searchable database of the high-tech small and medium enterprises (SMEs) that Beijing has identified as capable of taking ...

When I arrived in 1981 as a 12-year-old from Greece, I could not have imagined that three decades later I would return to the country of my birth as Australia’s ambassador. My family already had ...

Building complete industrial chains for critical minerals is only one way to escape reliance on concentrated foreign supply. A faster way is to find substitute materials and get several of them ready for use. Substitution ...

Future warfare won’t be entirely robotic. Yes, people will gradually disappear from battlefield environments where speed, endurance, distance, precision or physical danger overwhelmingly favour use of machines. But people will remain essential where warfare demands ...