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The ongoing push for greater government defense spending, alongside efforts to help households manage price pressures, could exacerbate already deteriorating fiscal outlooks and increase risks of a negative financial market reaction.

Introduction Since the breakup of the Soviet Union, Russia has made a concerted effort to keep Belarus in its sphere of influence. Belarus’s political, economic, and military autonomy has ebbed and flowed over time, depending on geopolitical circumstances, Russia’s needs, and Bel…

The much-anticipated presidential order signals a change for an administration that has resisted regulation of artificial intelligence (AI). But much more work is needed to create an effective cybersecurity network for the country as AI developments rapidly expand.

We discuss: Mentioned on the Episode:  Anne-Sylvaine Chassany, “Germany to Punish Ministries for Failing to Spend Funds Quickly Enough,” Financial Times “A Conversation With Ambassador Jamieson Greer,” CFR.org Brad W. Setser, “Time to Stop Forecasting China’s Surplus Away,” …

OpenClaw deployment brought China’s advantages into focus: fiercely competitive platforms, a coordinated regulatory apparatus, and a tech-literate, engaged public. Washington can still close the deployment gap if it builds public trust in AI and reasserts itself in setting …

China could run a 10 percent of GDP external surplus if its savings rate stays over 40 percent of GDP.

Authoritarian governments are reaching across borders to silence their critics—and increasingly doing it together. Democracies have started fighting back. They need to move faster.

CFR President Michael Froman assesses the performance of Trump’s trade policy.

As governments around the world ramp up defense spending, a new era of rearmament is reshaping economies, markets, inflation, and politics. This episode examines Japan’s dramatic shift away from its postwar pacifist identity amid rising tensions with China, ongoing conflicts in t…

The United Nations’ Global Dialogue on AI Governance is a test of whether the multilateral system can establish legitimate and inclusive AI oversight. Failure could accelerate regulatory fragmentation and make transboundary harm harder to manage.

Trump’s sagging poll numbers and the surging support for Democrats suggest that Republicans will likely pay a price for the war in November.

President Trump’s decision to pause arms sales to Taiwan will embolden China and weaken deterrence.

1947 – 2026 Since India’s independence, ties with the United States have weathered Cold War–era distrust and estrangement over India’s nuclear program. Relations have generally warmed in recent decades and cooperation has strengthened across a range of economic and political area…

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: Michelle Gavin, “The New African Power Map,” cfr.org Michelle Gavin, The Age of Change: How Urban Youth Are Transforming African Politics Opinions expressed on The President’s Inbox are solely those of the host or guests, not of C…

We discuss: Mentioned on the Episode:  David Kelly, “Five Scenarios for the Federal Debt,” J.P. Morgan Asset Management “Fiscal Policy under Pressure: High Debt, Rising Risks,” International Monetary Fund (IMF) “Global Supply Chain Pressure Index (GSCPI),” Federal Reserve Ba…

The existing patchwork of AI standards and governance frameworks can both create and worsen cross-border harms from AI deployment. A central coordinating mechanism could help mitigate these risks. Can the United Nations play this role?

The new head of the U.S. Federal Reserve takes over at a time of heightened inflationary pressures and concern over the Fed’s independence. His first one hundred days should give signs on how he will handle the central bank’s core role and political pressures.

A short essay, originally published by CFR’s Future of American Strategy Initiative, on how power in the international economic system has evolved and lessons from a year when Trump weaponized access to U.S. demand while Xi weaponized access to Chinese supply.

The outbreak of a rare strain of Ebola that went undetected for several weeks in the Democratic Republic of Congo—and which has now spread to Uganda—is raising concerns about regional and global authorities’ ability to effectively respond.

The story of a U.S. Marine who made the ultimate sacrifice for the United States.

CFR President Michael Froman surveys a week of global developments in the context of the Council’s new Future of American Strategy Initiative.

The history of the Islamic Republic of Iran has been one of unending religious bigotry and harsh discrimination against Iran’s Baha’i population. Today, Iran has been joined by the State of Qatar in this illegal and immoral repression of the small and peaceful Baha’i community in…

We should avoid being lulled into complacency by economic conditions that are still reasonably solid.

We should avoid being lulled into complacency by economic conditions that are still reasonably solid.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s four-day visit to India comes after a year of nosediving relations. He will attempt to revive ties that appear rudderless after decades of progress.