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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

Supply chains built for efficiency are colliding with a world defined by disruption. In this context, Australia now faces a structural challenge in securing critical inputs such as fuel and fertiliser. Government, industry and consumers ...

The mission of the US Central Intelligence Agency is extremely hazardous, writes Tim Weiner in his July 2025 book, The Mission: the CIA in the 21st century. Collecting intelligence runs many risks and can test ...

Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping are meeting in Beijing on May 14 and 15 for the first time in more than six months. It’s Trump’s first visit to China since 2017. The two leaders ...

The Arctic is no longer a distant sideshow. It is becoming a contested strategic arena, and Indo-Pacific states should start treating it that way. What happens in the High North will increasingly affect global trade, ...

Southeast Asian governments are failing to respond as a bloc to the severe disruption in oil, gas and commercial shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam have each moved to ...

About A$17.4 billion of the Australian government’s promised A$53 billion increase in headline defence spending over the next 10 years remains uncertain. Of the uplift promised by the National Defence Strategy (NDS) a month ago ...

Strategists in Canberra should factor in the plausible risk of Russian participation in a Western Pacific conflict, especially action by Russian submarines. Russia has modernised its Pacific submarines and has a clear reason for using ...

The Taiwanese legislature’s curtailing of a defence acquisition budget on 8 May has impeded the government’s attempts at building a porcupine defence system and has damaged the island’s strategic credibility just as President Donald Trump ...

Supply ships are increasingly vulnerable. Navies need numerous small and remotely controlled or autonomous vessels to move material through the most dangerous part of the delivery chain, between large ships held at distance and forces ...

Australia’s 2026 National Defence Strategy (NDS) and Integrated Investment Program (IIP) demonstrate a stronger commitment to cyber defence and capability. They reinforce that cyber for Defence is not just about securing networks but also about ...

The Australian government’s decision to curtail the Inland Rail Project was politically brave. Governments rarely walk away from troubled megaprojects once billions have been spent and expectations have hardened. Yet the real issue sits well ...

Most Australians already know something is wrong with our information environment. An Australian National University survey of 20,000 average Australians found disinformation consistently ranked among top national security concerns. Participants rated it as more serious ...

Strategic competition now extends far beyond military capability and economic strength. Liberal democracies therefore have a strategic interest in cultivating a confident civic patriotism that strengthens social cohesion, reinforces institutional legitimacy and supports national …

In January, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney told the World Economic Forum something that Western democracies have long known but rarely said in public. The rules-based international order, he observed, was always a pleasant fiction. ...

The most dangerous assumption in current contingency planning is that any war, even a regional war involving the United States, would be short. Four interacting forces would make high-intensity regional conflicts hard to terminate: regime ...

China’s pressure on Taiwan increasingly relies on vessels that aren’t warships. Instead, Beijing is deploying a maritime grey-zone fleet: a network of civilian and paramilitary vessels used to harass, intimidate and probe Taiwan while remaining ...

AI is the most consequential technology we will ever create. The visit by Japan’s pro-industry Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to Australia this week was a chance to bind our efforts with those of a natural ...

Every system operating under finite resources – seemingly every system now – needs to compress its environment: simplify, filter, decide what to pay attention to and what to let go. The fix isn’t to track ...

Australia has an obvious way to reduce its vulnerability to disruption of fuel supplies: making battery-electric locomotives the standard means of freight-rail traction and, through resulting cost savings, draw more long-distance goods transportation onto trains. ...

The international system is currently experiencing a period of profound structural upheaval. The long-standing, rules-based international order – the very foundation of global stability since the mid-20th century – is being openly challenged to varying ...

Historian and media commentator James Curran is wrong to suggest we should fear that closer defence ties with Japan could drag Australia into a conflict with China, as he argued in the Australian Financial Review ...

AI development is often imagined as a race for scale in which competitive edge is gained by harnessing enough energy to operate AI technology. Tech billionaires such as Elon Musk have stoked this narrative, suggesting ...

In 2025, Ukrainian-led opposing forces defeated NATO formations in two major exercises. At exercise Hedgehog in Estonia, about 10 drone operators with cheap first-person-view drones rendered two NATO battalions combat-ineffective in half a day. At ...

I’ve just finished reading a fantasy novel written entirely by an AI. The Second Son of the House of Bells is the story of a young bellmaker whose keen musical ear makes him an agent of political ...

The Northern Territory still struggles to convert opportunity into sustained economic growth because workforce shortages, weak enabling infrastructure and slow approvals continue to choke investment. With the May budgets in Darwin and Canberra fast approaching, ...