Knjižnica dokumenata

Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

Attacks on Black Sea grain infrastructure and a fertilizer shock from the Iran war are hitting global agriculture at both ends of the production cycle. Add an El Niño forecast to disrupt rainfall across major growing regions, and the damage lands hardest on the 2027 and 2028 grow…

Twenty-five years ago, the United States suffered a catastrophic terror attack that claimed nearly three thousand lives. This event prompted the invention of security architectures that shaped the global war on terror and continue to inform counterterrorism efforts today. Sixteen…

       

CFR President Michael Froman analyzes the geopolitics playing out in the background of the World Nomad Games in Kyrgyzstan.

America’s largest companies often pay more tax in Dublin than they do in D.C.

A Russia-linked operation used ChatGPT to build a credible-looking research institute, complete with papers, an index, and real experts—including ones at CFR—who never agreed to be listed. Its posts earned little reach, but the infrastructure it created, using artificial intellig…

AfD gains in state elections would add to internal pressures on the government as it faces a growing external threat from Russia.

President Donald Trump’s effort to change voting rules two months before Election Day awaits a legal greenlight that would throw a curveball into the midterm elections.

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: Vladimir Putin, with Nataliya Gevorkyan, Natalya Timakova, and Andrei Kolesnikov, First Person: An Astonishingly Frank Self-Portrait by Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, PublicAffairs Barak Ravid, “CIA Director Ratcliffe Floated Trump-Putin-…

Speculation abounds that the CIA director flew to Moscow to deliver a message to the Kremlin, but his real audience may have been elsewhere.

As artificial intelligence (AI) becomes increasingly autonomous, we need a simple set of rules that everyone—not just technologists and lawyers—can understand.

As Treasury issuance continues to grow, and price-sensitive investors control more of the market, a U.S. debt crisis becomes more likely.

A creative interpretation of the law enabled President Franklin Roosevelt to provide military aid to Britain despite his initial belief that he needed Congress’s approval to act.

The genocide committed in Srebrenica will dominate discussion of Ratko Mladić’s legacy. But a second alleged genocide holds vital lessons for future cases.

China’s official current account data understate the scale of its external surplus and, by extension, the degree of renminbi undervaluation.

1908 – 2026 For more than a century, the United States and Canada have forged a strong partnership built on shared geography and economic and security cooperation. But while the two countries have traditionally had one of the closest bilateral ties in the world, relations have co…

The White House’s growing travel ban is now shutting down immigrant visa processing indefinitely for seventy-five countries, including Brazil, Iran, Russia, and Somalia, among several others.

Bruce Hoffman has studied terrorism and insurgency for half a century, trying to understand the mindset of people who carry out political violence. In a conversation with CFR, he discussed what he’s learned from interviewing terrorists and insurgents, how the terrorist threat has…

Few candidates on the campaign trail are talking about the nation’s mounting debt and what should be done about it.

As the country hurtles headlong into the midterm elections, women continue to be a key voting bloc—as skippers and flippers—given ongoing concerns regarding affordability, health care (including women’s health), and the costly Iran war siphoning away resources from daily kitchen …

One might have thought that a Middle East war that has badly reduced Qatar’s natural gas exports and greatly harmed its economy would fully occupy the Qatari government. Not so; it has found time throughout 2026 to persecute the small and law-abiding Baha’i community.  As I …

The Iran war has triggered the largest oil supply disruption in market history yet barely dented global growth after six months of conflict. Strategic reserves and shale get the credit, but the real cushion is the fuel everyone forgets—demand itself.

The U.S. war with Iran has raised new questions about the United States’ role in the Middle East, the balance of power in the region, and whether U.S. actions will fuel extremism.

Canada is the first U.S. ally to absorb tariff pain rather than settle. CFR’s Brad W. Setser explains what the breakdown costs both economies—and why other countries are likely watching the fallout closely.