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Analize i izvješća iz think-tankova i OSINT izvora

CFR President Michael Froman analyzes three potential outcomes of the Iran War.

The announcement of a U.S. deal to provide Saudi Arabia with nuclear technology has raised alarm about proliferation, especially in Israel. The Trump administration’s swift move to add conditions puts it in limbo.

China might have taken greater advantage of the Strait of Hormuz closure to accelerate clean energy exports, but other exports led Beijing to moderate oil price rises.

Public sentiment is something decision-makers must contend with, especially in democratic states. However, the extent to which public opinion shapes foreign policy varies. Three Council of Councils experts in France, India, and Nigeria reflect on how public opinion does—and somet…

In a new collection of reports from the Wachenheim Center for Peace and Security at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), authors Peter J. Quaranto, Cecily Brewer, F. David Diaz, and Jason Ladnier provide expert recommendations for how to respond to common contingency types. Th…

The AI industry and the administration could soon converge on a FINRA-style regulator for frontier AI. Its ultimate viability and effectiveness will be decided by design choices being made right now.

The United States lacks a rigorous, routinized approach to managing foreign policy crises. The Wachenheim Center for Peace and Security has developed a set of Crisis Response Playbooks and a Crisis Management Checklist to serve as quick-reference guides for policy planners during…

Executive Summary Conflict-driven disruptions of critical supply chain chokepoints have become a recurring feature of the world today—from Russia’s 2022 blockade of Ukraine’s grain exports via the Black Sea, to the Houthis’ attacks on boats in the Red Sea that began in 2023, to I…

Executive Summary Gray zone attacks are deliberate but deniable acts of violence engineered to inflict strategic costs while stopping short of triggering a formal military or diplomatic response. Those attacks can take multiple forms: infrastructure destruction (undersea cable cu…

Executive Summary With more than 490 failed and successful coups d’état [PDF] around the world since 1950, coups have been a persistent challenge for U.S. foreign policy across decades and continents. Although coup leaders often cite legitimate grievances and can have strong popu…

Executive Summary Over the first quarter of this century, the vast majority of violent conflicts worldwide have involved insurgent groups: organized groups engaged in armed struggle to weaken the control and legitimacy of an established government, occupying power, or other polit…

We Discuss: Mentioned on the Episode: “Cuba’s 176 Market-Liberalization Measures,” NBC News, June 20, 2026 “July 11, 2021 Protests in Cuba,” WOLA, July 2022 “Miami Herald Investigation: GAESA’s Secret Dollar Reserves,” Miami Herald,…

Stephanie Psaki has always believed that health is at the heart of every stage of life. She sat down with CFR to talk about her far-reaching career in international research, nonprofits, and the government, as well as her views on the current state of the public health space.

U.S. military installations across the Gulf sit within easy range of Iranian missiles, a legacy of basing decisions made when U.S. forces faced far less capable adversaries. As the war exposes that vulnerability, a case is building to reposition U.S. forces farther from Iran&#821…

In conversation with Dan Kurtz-Phelan, Sebastian Mallaby discusses his recent Foreign Affairs article on the AI trilemma, and the push and pull U.S. leadership faces between innovating faster than China and addressing public concern about AI. Mallaby dismisses the race to build A…

This is a limited excerpt from the Climate Realism Initiative Newsletter. Sign up to receive monthly insights from the initiative’s fellows and staff, including articles, videos, podcasts, events, and more. More than 1,600 policymakers, practitioners, business leaders, think tank…

The US and the European Union have been on a trade agreement tear, competing to define the future global trading system. The EU looks to backstop the more established rules of the road; the US, to muscle bilateral commercial balances in its favor. Each has lessons for the other: …

As Britain’s seventh prime minister in a decade, Andy Burnham enters Downing Street with a “Manchesterism” agenda of devolution and reindustrialization—and a cooler disposition toward Washington than his predecessor.

CFR President Michael Froman analyzes the administration’s new tariff wall.

美国公民敏钦因可疑的间谍指控被拘留，这是北京在海外打压异见人士和批评者运动范围扩大、愈发肆无忌惮的最新证据。如果美国不作出强有力的回应，中国在外国领土上针对学者、活动人士和侨民社区的意愿很可能会进一步增强。

美国公民敏钦因可疑的间谍指控被拘留，这是北京在海外打压异见人士和批评者运动范围扩大、愈发肆无忌惮的最新证据。如果美国不作出强有力的回应，中国在外国领土上针对学者、活动人士和侨民社区的意愿很可能会进一步增强。

Andy Burnham will be the United Kingdom’s seventh prime minister in a decade. Here’s a rundown of the country’s previous six leaders and why they left office.

Secretary of State Rubio’s campaign offers no alternative for prosecuting genocide and war crimes that would otherwise go unpunished. Decades of bipartisan U.S. policy have recognized that an imperfect court is better than none.

Thomas J. Bollyky’s testimony to the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Energy and Commerce addresses how U.S. dependence on China has expanded from generic drug manufacturing into the innovation pipeline itself.

The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) is pleased to welcome Sonja Brookins Santelises as vice president, senior fellow, and director of the Richard Haass Center for Education. Dr. Santelises will start on Tuesday, September 8, based in Washington, D…