25 dokumenata
Darwin Dialogue 2026: the conversation is over. It’s time for implementation
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 10. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

Today marks the launch of the Darwin Dialogue 2026 report, From Exposure to Endurance: competitive endurance architecture for high-ESG mineral-specific supply chains. Australia and its partners have spent much of the past decade debating why ...

How to lose friends and alienate allies: Trump’s approach to Oman
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 10. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

President Donald Trump’s 27 May threat to ‘blow up’ Oman if it didn’t fall into line was strategically self-defeating. With one off-the-cuff remark, the United States risked damaging the one quiet, trusted channel through which ...

China isn’t defending critical minerals investment. It’s defending leverage
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 10. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

Chinese reactions to Treasurer Jim Chalmers’s decision to order six China-linked investors to divest their holdings in Northern Minerals tells us far more than the decision itself. China’s Global Times publication condemned the move as ...

Beyond submarines: AUKMIN is about collective defence of shared values
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 9. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

AUKUS is likely to dominate coverage of this week’s meetings between Australian and British foreign and defence ministers (AUKMIN) in London. All four ministers should use the opportunity to take back the narrative on the ...

Goodbye, just-in-time. Australia must prepare for contested logistics
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 9. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

Australia’s next fight will be won or lost in the logistics battlespace. In the Indo-Pacific, supply chains have moved from the background to the foreground of strategy, and Australia’s north now sits on the forward ...

Australia should take interest in Takaichi’s efforts to return abductees from North Korea
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Sjeverna Koreja · 9. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

With the sole surviving parent of North Korea’s Japanese abductees turning 90 this year, Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi is facing domestic pressure to act. She wants direct talks with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un ...

In minerals purchasing, China is teaching Australia a lesson on economic power
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 8. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

For decades, Australia assumed economic power flowed from geology. Resource wealth delivered export earnings, government revenue and strategic confidence. The emergence of China Mineral Resources Group (CMRG) over the past four years suggests otherwise. In ...

The lamentable state of British defence acquisition
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 5. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

The expertise of the South Asian sub-region is robust, so the title of Worst Defence Acquisition System is in safe hands. But Britain’s allies in a post-American world should worry that Blighty is as far ...

Philippines’ UN loss strengthens case for minilateralism
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 5. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

The UN General Assembly has just strengthened the case for minilateralism, the gathering of small coalitions to act when international institutions fail. On 3 June it had a chance to do what we argued for ...

From crisis partners to strategic partners: deepening Australia–UAE defence ties
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 4. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

The time is right for Australia and the United Arab Emirates to deepen their defence relationship. For both countries it would be one of the most substantial partnerships outside existing formal alliances. Momentum has been ...

The missile gap problem: US Indo-Pacific deterrence under strain
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 4. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

The US commitment to Indo-Pacific stability is being tested not by strategic ambiguity but by industrial reality. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth’s recent notification to Japanese Defense Minister Shinjiro Koizumi that deliveries of US-made Tomahawk ...

Australia’s cybersecurity workforce problem: language that repels the people we need
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 4. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

Australia has a cybersecurity workforce problem, and part of the explanation is hiding in plain sight: the language of the field actively repels the people we need. Last year, I was on a panel for ...

The seabed is becoming a battlefield. Taiwan has field notes
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 3. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

As Australia strengthens the protection of critical seabed infrastructure, it should draw on Taiwan’s frontline experience. Taiwan has been battling this problem for three years. At the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore on 30 May, Deputy ...

Not regulation. Not even oversight. Trump’s AI order won’t be enough
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 3. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

After a bruising tussle inside his administration, President Donald Trump has gone for a decidedly non-committal approach to AI safety and security that’s unlikely to survive sustained contact with reality. He issued an executive order ...

Amid discord and disagreement, the Antarctic Treaty System is failing
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Globalno · 3. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

The Antarctic Treaty is glorified as evidence of managing cooperation in a contested world. Forged in the Cold War, the treaty system has effectively held conflict at bay for almost seven decades. Geopolitics has been ...

A General Assembly that backed international rules would put Philippines on Security Council
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 3. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

On 3 June in New York, the UN General Assembly faces a choice: will the institution charged with enforcing international rules include a voice that’s prepared to call out their breaches? The General Assembly will ...

Predictability as power: Australia’s advantage in the AI infrastructure race
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Bliski Istok · 2. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

Remoteness from conflict is emerging as a key advantage for Australia in the competition to host AI data centres. The country already enjoys great advantages including prospectively abundant and cheap energy from renewable sources. Israeli ...

AUKUS Pillar Two lunges for an operational capability – underwater
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 2. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

With the ‘signature project’ on payloads for uncrewed undersea vehicles (UUVs) announced by Australia, Britain and the United States on 30 May at the Shangri-La Dialogue, AUKUS Pillar Two transitions from scientific potential to realising ...

Preparing Australia for a future of overlapping risk
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 2. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

Governments still organise around discrete shocks, yet the operating environment increasingly delivers continuous, concurrent and cascading pressures across economic, social, technological and environmental systems. Australia needs to shift from managing shocks to managing intera…

Sorry, Mr Carney. At Shangri-la, Indo-Pacific countries backed the rules-based order
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Azija · 2. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

International rules still matter. That was the common theme at this year’s Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, particularly for Indo-Pacific nations. Australia’s deputy prime minister and defence minister, Richard Marles, told the conference, ‘The international rules-based ...

Suddenly, we hear of Australian–Japanese ‘strategic depth’. Here’s what it may mean
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 1. lipnja 2026. · Think-tank

A new element has just appeared in Australia–Japan defence and security cooperation: strategic depth. But the two countries, having mentioned it, haven’t gone far to explain what they mean by it. Nonetheless, some fairly safe ...

China’s expanding frontiers: views in The Strategist
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Kina · 31. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

China appears to be playing the long game in pursuit of its interests in the Indo-Pacific. In this series of Strategist articles, Joe Keary, Raji Rajagopalan and Linus Cohen discuss how China is pursuing its regional ...

NDS 2026 – The right strategy for the wrong era
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · SAD · 30. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Australian official thought regarding the defence of Australia has been more independently minded than is portrayed by certain academics and commentators who, often not possessing a deep understanding of the history of Australian strategy, have ...

Why Iran will prefer ongoing conflict
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Bliski Istok · 29. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

Even a fragile ceasefire creates the illusion that a resolution pathway is in progress. In such highly contentious regions as the Middle East, ceasefires frequently function as transitional phases between confrontation, rather than endpoints. The key ...

How NATO can regain initiative on its eastern flank
Geopolitika · ASPI Strategist · Europa · 29. svibnja 2026. · Think-tank

While NATO can still deter Russian aggression with Article 5, it is losing the initiative on its eastern flank in the grey zone between peace and war. The problem is not military weakness, but a ...

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